Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71e66bce83b87dd799b3d75c1be480f7ea16f22ce11f050b16f057364828c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 34c | 2,956$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 67c | 2,768$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,670$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 1,721$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 28c | 1,564$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 78c | 1,269$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,129$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.54 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 66c | 699.97$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 502.12$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 296.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 68c | 294.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 7c | 284.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 21c | 238.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 19c | 222.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 204.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 33c | 149.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 147.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 21c | 119.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 105.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 67c | 91.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 88.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Under | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 67c | 81.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 67c | 76.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 72.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 30c | 70.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Over | 33c | 59.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 58.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 67c | 52.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 50.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 32c | 46.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 33.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 67c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 69c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Under | 67c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 67c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 68c | 26.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 56c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 76c | 21.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Under | 67c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 67c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.