Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3139c1eabf16497e6ef3ee7cf34863abd44bd77ec6e5302c3bbd24ecea4699e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,616$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 594.54$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.96 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 501$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 52c | 479.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 441$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.61 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 75c | 418.49$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 50c | 400.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 61c | 376$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 369.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 22c | 298$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 50c | 281.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 22c | 229.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 217.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 32c | 145.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 19c | 131.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 45c | 113.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 34c | 104.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed Yes | 71c | 98.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 26c | 76.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed Yes | 74c | 75.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 49.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 76c | 48.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 44c | 45.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…f845backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.