Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2e7d16d27da6f500d8acfd69c409bfc87259e476c11afee5050badc1a69a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 24c | 2,076$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,063$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,782$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.64 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 1,118$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,006$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 999.9$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 938.42$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 46c | 842.46$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 691.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 12c | 616.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 568.95$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 64c | 501.33$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 76c | 449.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 79c | 386.08$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 72c | 349.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 7c | 348.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 80c | 299.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 248.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 243.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 208.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 175.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 62c | 158.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 32c | 156.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 13c | 151$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 147.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 140.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 37c | 134.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 79c | 112.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 54c | 100.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 95.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 78.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 26c | 38.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 70c | 35.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 74c | 33.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.