Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac237c3d1862c5b40f4fdeb668cb3150d6ba7460bc04ecdb85f0949f46e34a7b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,720 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee19…555ebacked Under	45c	7,085$3,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,896.75	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	56c	4,970$2,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,763.56	525	50.1%263 W · 262 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under	44c	2,916$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	55c	2,727$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	53c	2,659$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.77	227	45.8%104 W · 123 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	44c	1,426$632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.27	243	49.4%120 W · 123 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	45c	1,300$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.92	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	55c	1,155$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.9	873	44.3%387 W · 486 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	39c	833.93$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.01	266	60.5%161 W · 105 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	44c	733.25$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.28	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	686.59$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.51	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under	44c	654.75$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.66	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	44c	583.07$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.52	304	48%146 W · 158 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over	64c	573.44$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	55c	507.45$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.1	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over	56c	460.79$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.04	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	36c	413.11$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.39	1,415	40.8%577 W · 838 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	61c	381.2$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.74	331	45%149 W · 182 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over	55c	377.6$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.68	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	57c	351.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	43c	302.88$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.45	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	55c	298.8$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.34	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over	56c	277.03$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.34	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	32c	264$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	46c	253.09$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.93	260	46.2%120 W · 140 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	55c	246$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.53	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	55c	228.96$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.93	129	63.6%82 W · 47 L	+12.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	45c	219.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.99	263	54%142 W · 121 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over	56c	186.67$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.23	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	55c	185$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.67	464	50.4%234 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	55c	173.17$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.51	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over	59c	169.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	55c	151.85$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.35	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	41c	151.15$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.18	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over	56c	139.86$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	55c	135.75$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over	56c	133.93$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over	52c	103.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under	44c	101.7$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.95	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	45c	97.16$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.73	260	41.9%109 W · 151 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	57c	95.31$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	56c	85.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over	57c	85.48$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	56c	82.1$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	233	42.5%99 W · 134 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over	57c	67.15$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under	38c	65.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.78	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over	56c	57.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	53c	54.19$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	228	54.4%124 W · 104 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over	56c	50.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over	51c	44.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Over	56c	40.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	55c	35.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	45c	35.18$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	593	48.4%287 W · 306 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over	58c	34.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	56c	33.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under	41c	33.9$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.02	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	44c	32.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.09	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	56c	28.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	56c	25.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…21dbbacked Over	56c	24.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under	43c	23.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	56c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	56c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event