TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd508…0009

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+74%+$49.41
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.81
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$11.88
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$6.02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$434.3
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$484.8
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$424.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.38
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)backed Kayserispor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Okhdood SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$454.5
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.