Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8ed7d6b36996cebc7a77528125b192e7c16589058cbdeff07e6121b11fe716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 54c | 27,658$14,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,935.41 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 46c | 15,299$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,261.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 10,548$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 46c | 7,609$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 46c | 6,039$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 46c | 5,859$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 27c | 5,519$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.55 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 47c | 4,150$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 54c | 3,090$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.49 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,010$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.05 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 1,985$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,913$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.04 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 61c | 1,865$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 1,619$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 56c | 1,384$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 1,259$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 15c | 1,250$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 1,235$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.99 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 1,226$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 1,179$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,124$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.63 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 20c | 1,086$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 45c | 986.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 35c | 803.43$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 5c | 792$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 728.13$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.7 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 21c | 572.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 521.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 45c | 506.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 444.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 19c | 431.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 425.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 407$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 18c | 404.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 399.2$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed No | 57c | 398.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 31c | 393.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 363$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 294.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 44c | 272.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 48c | 263.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 9c | 255.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 47c | 252.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Yes | 47c | 245.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 243$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 72c | 208.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 79c | 197.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 57c | 175.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 145.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 57c | 144.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 69c | 138.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 126.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 125.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 33c | 122.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 105.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 22c | 69.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 55c | 64.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 59.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 57.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 30c | 51.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 52c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 60c | 43.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…084ebacked Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 56c | 40.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 43c | 39.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 56c | 34.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed No | 55c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 46c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…f71abacked No | 72c | 24.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed No | 56c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 52c | 21.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.