La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77c178be03c194a08810e5e0798107d08d6f0abfed6a3770f7a3a0b2c9ca8622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 43c | 101,482$43,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,005.4 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed No | 24c | 35,637$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 35,000$16,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,428.5 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 27,466$10,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,734.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 27,290$13,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,286.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 53c | 27,201$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,321.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 52c | 26,151$13,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,598.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 53c | 22,807$12,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,087.45 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 74c | 17,278$12,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.08 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 16,290$9,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,385.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 12,809$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.39 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 53c | 12,500$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 48c | 11,964$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.46 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 48c | 11,588$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,061.39 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 57c | 9,615$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 41c | 8,351$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.94 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 56c | 7,500$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 6,528$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 57c | 5,004$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 4,548$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 51c | 3,580$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.88 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 70c | 3,284$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 70c | 3,284$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 3,273$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.13 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 3,023$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.85 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 11c | 2,988$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 2,959$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.3 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 57c | 2,549$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 57c | 2,535$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 2,417$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.52 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 57c | 2,404$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.59 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 42c | 1,981$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 68c | 1,921$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.41 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 70c | 1,899$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.62 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 57c | 1,769$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 70c | 1,667$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.48 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 70c | 1,661$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.37 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,642$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.62 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 1,511$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.36 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 1,396$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.75 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 1,315$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.54 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked No | 57c | 1,189$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 1,184$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.88 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 4c | 1,166$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 1,088$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 1,085$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.93 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…2852backed No | 57c | 1,021$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 55c | 1,005$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 70c | 1,003$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed No | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.0wins | +0.38per pick | 54cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed No | 10c | 994.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked No | 53c | 944.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed No | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 42c | 926.35$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 920$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 47c | 917.31$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 52c | 830.73$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 58c | 830.42$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 57c | 801.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 48c | 799.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 797$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 751.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 52c | 750.1$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.05 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 44c | 684.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 70c | 660$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 646$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 47c | 638.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 57c | 624.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.37 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 13c | 607.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 47c | 590.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 550.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 58c | 520.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 520$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 520$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.