La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a307c51adf20eb8091c36c28e1404c84c373b1af0271682b0a946ad80963fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 27c | 19,099$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 10,023$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.39 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 4,488$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.93 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 2,799$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.56 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 2,343$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.59 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes | 22c | 1,455$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 1,198$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.42 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 639.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 436.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 347$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 307.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 73c | 306$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 261.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 229$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 224.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 135.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 72c | 128.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 80c | 109.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 93.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 83.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 80c | 71.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 60.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes | 20c | 52.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 28c | 50.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked No | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 24.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.