TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed No69c20,000$13,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.527656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c12,932$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.861,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No78c12,908$10,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.784665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.999028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c8,198$6,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.1240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c8,164$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.874,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c7,803$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.462,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c4,721$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.061,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0409443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2402962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c3,944$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.6419840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes27c3,647$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.781942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c3,508$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.891,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+76.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c3,200$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes27c3,111$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes31c2,862$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.2415034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c2,000$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5163757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes28c1,999$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.788246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes28c1,971$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c1,810$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2719255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes31c1,406$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43613445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No74c1,400$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36410760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes21c1,400$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510022%22 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes9c1,222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes22c1,200$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2683046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c1,129$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes25c1,128$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes20c1,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes23c1,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.513419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c995.5$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8347653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No75c898.99$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c847.65$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c838.06$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes26c822.39$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.853655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c810$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes27c753.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes27c740$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Yes27c655.56$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c620.6$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.568160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes22c601.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes27c509.8$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes31c443.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.557927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c380$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes25c373.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.332536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b2…0945backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e9efbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes8c354.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.049931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes27c313$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.512733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes17c301.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes25c300.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0310060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7823855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c296.09$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9745250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes21c277.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3813658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked No69c274.66$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes33c270.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No62c246.72$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5310068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes20c229.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No73c204.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1911331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes29c200.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.139338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613526.7%36 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5083650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes30c199.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes34c196.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2710843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fd…6578backed Yes26c189.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.181346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe04a…f990backed Yes26c181.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Yes27c170.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa721…10a6backed Yes12c157.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes31c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes19c149.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9128138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9313051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.