MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f90b0c5f30a1921dbf3cc1d550e2a9b210ce15ebc9d63b7220ed0505193c22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 194,537$94,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,488.58 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 110,390$56,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,299.14 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 34,677$18,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,217.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 53c | 21,510$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 47c | 19,110$8,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,148.35 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 7,404$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.18 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 48c | 6,578$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.58 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 4,380$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 3,074$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 3,035$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 53c | 3,012$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.33 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,005$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.6 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 2,261$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,977$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,856$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 47c | 1,854$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.07 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,533$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.83 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 1,505$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.43 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 1,489$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.23 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 1,427$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,364$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,265$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.63 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 1,007$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.6 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Over | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 54c | 666.52$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 661$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 46c | 617.56$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 576.69$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 433.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 53c | 405.72$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 59c | 387.54$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 378.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Over | 56c | 351.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 349.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 35c | 346.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 314$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 289.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 54c | 277.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 263$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 63c | 239.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Over | 34c | 222.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under | 47c | 221.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 219.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 53c | 200.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Under | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 54c | 195.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 43c | 191.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 184.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 182.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Over | 55c | 181.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 159.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 148$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 53c | 147.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 53c | 146.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Over | 60c | 146.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…3325backed Over | 54c | 114.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 100.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 50c | 96.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 93.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 55c | 91.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 48c | 90.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 89.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 88.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 53c | 81.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 53c | 73.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 72.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 65.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 55c | 63.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.