MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5051cd19dd62f98f96f03c635c8d2667511f6e387c457ef0f86d32b874e72868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Cincinnati Reds, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,499.95 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 117,777$55,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,355.11 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 52,298$28,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,057.24 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 42,069$19,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,772.38 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 40,833$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 36,677$16,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,804.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 22,927$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,775.63 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 19,639$8,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,525.59 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 18,738$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 17,737$8,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,254.72 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 16,493$9,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.85 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,691$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 13,546$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.15 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 12,587$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.35 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 11,135$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.77 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.94 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 9,461$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 7,993$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.58 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 5,750$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.52 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,026$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.21 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,868$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.61 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 4,194$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,165$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.74 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,965$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.66 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,321$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.21 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,200$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.43 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,523$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,511$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,216$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.52 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,203$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 2,152$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.54 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,125$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.08 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,069$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,042$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 2,025$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,981$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,845$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.6 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,694$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.84 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,662$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,651$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.9 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,421$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.26 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,320$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,259$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,190$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,157$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 1,126$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,088$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.36 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,071$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.82 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 986.63$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 925$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 924.87$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.44 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 901.38$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 883.83$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 880.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.65 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 876.71$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 817.82$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 812.76$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…bfb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c5b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 799.97$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 796.92$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.58 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 757.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.91 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 729.68$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 718.67$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 711.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…fbbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 691.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 678.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.63 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 671.91$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d3d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 660.7$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 626.23$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 598$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 587.54$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 585.65$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 571.01$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…8abfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 568.37$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 564$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.