Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d02d195753442e4653eca998aac1547d0ad5503caef37fa2929792e6af21cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 4,600$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.14 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Over | 49c | 4,471$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 4,267$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 4,098$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,809$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.01 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 40c | 2,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.83 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 51c | 1,892$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 1,755$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 44c | 1,184$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 982.43$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 52c | 969.54$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 51c | 951.82$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 58c | 939.93$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.27 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 54c | 927.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 53c | 805.44$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 525.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 10c | 501.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Over | 48c | 427.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 354.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 20c | 325$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 75c | 316.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 28c | 281.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 277.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 6c | 259.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 246$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 205.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Over | 42c | 205.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 204.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 10c | 204.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 54c | 203.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 55c | 187.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 19c | 168$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 147.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 59c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 88.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 86.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 85.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 77.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 76.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 64.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 58.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 59c | 55.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Under | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 42c | 47.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 57c | 46.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 48c | 42.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 76c | 39.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…c779backed Under | 41c | 26.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 50c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…3784backed Under | 53c | 24.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.