Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4155bd882287b960537a54667bad178d1ecd573e33a7cd311a9f0cbf872fe1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 60c | 3,772$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.29 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 3,715$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 3,082$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.27 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,089$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 1,973$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.82 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,585$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 15c | 346.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 38c | 305$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 35c | 299.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 277.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 45c | 271.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 200.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 15c | 104.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 41c | 91.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Under | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 54c | 90.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 66.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 57.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…a772backed Under | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…b2c2backed Over | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 42c | 30.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 62c | 29.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 22.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.