Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4545025e75626e56f393e0e47a601d8d85e991a485a31a843a09c1ec6864df72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 65c | 1,184$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.39 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 851.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 808.61$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 66c | 675.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Over | 34c | 474.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 32c | 464.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 73c | 410.67$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 388.2$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 261$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 256.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 250.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 186.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 65c | 176.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 66c | 159.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 35c | 146.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 35c | 128.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 9c | 111.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 30c | 105.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 79c | 85.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 72c | 75.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 73c | 68.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 53.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 66c | 49.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 35c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 28.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Over | 73c | 26.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.