TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes66c30,257$19,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,311.682748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c8,014$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.461,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c4,275$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.041,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c2,455$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.815,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c1,947$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6471,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No34c1,874$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No34c1,709$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54418353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No34c1,095$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.122,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No34c957.44$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.251,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c773.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No9c726.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.414745.6%67 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked No34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23113154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No35c667.23$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3639954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No34c592$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2816856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No34c538.39$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6715349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Yes75c533.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.262161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes66c511.26$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.188843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c451.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.721,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed No7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes74c400$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10627639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13621152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No34c397.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.29530.5%29 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No35c384.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7412660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No35c378$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.881,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c376.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No34c359.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.311471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No34c354.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.226759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No34c294.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.163246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No35c283.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No34c260$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No34c260$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No14c236.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.731,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes66c201.52$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.526944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes65c199.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7112635.7%45 W · 81 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No34c196.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9115455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No34c188.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes65c184.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No35c156.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0414953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No10c149.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Yes66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.361353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…4bf5backed No36c125.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.817151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No34c115.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No9c111$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2413349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c109$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.061,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c102.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8589955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes65c100.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2519856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No35c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.540550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes65c99.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No35c99.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9916746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes66c98.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9722544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes67c95.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.524650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No34c85.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0612551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Yes66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes65c75.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4230464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No35c73.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5911053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No35c71.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.121,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No35c67.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.713951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No35c58.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5928253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed No35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+104.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No34c51.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.558256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf8…4d13backed Yes66c48.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c46.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6846422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb855…df82backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes75c44.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No35c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3520860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.554445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed No34c32.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes74c31.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1232457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.