TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof Virtus.pro, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro59c40,479$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro53c24,984$13,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,241.5840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion47c13,170$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,980.211,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed GamerLegion41c11,998$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.827152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed GamerLegion45c10,159$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro61c9,948$6,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,067.9833746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro54c8,997$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Virtus.pro59c6,871$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,033.8713346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed GamerLegion41c5,500$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24529042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359c…3272backed GamerLegion38c4,971$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked GamerLegion39c4,584$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.177728.6%22 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked GamerLegion41c4,323$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.4241944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed GamerLegion42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Virtus.pro49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed GamerLegion38c3,682$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.8422644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Virtus.pro55c3,285$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked GamerLegion47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59034544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Virtus.pro62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8605259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked GamerLegion38c2,904$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed GamerLegion41c2,850$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.515144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GamerLegion46c2,812$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.229348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed GamerLegion40c2,757$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.914143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GamerLegion41c2,700$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.8145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion50c2,641$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.31,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GamerLegion46c2,543$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.1556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GamerLegion45c2,509$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.1135951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion48c2,360$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.661,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion47c2,350$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro55c2,350$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro47c2,330$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GamerLegion53c2,177$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.4977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion40c2,161$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.531,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion46c2,112$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.631,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion39c2,000$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22281029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked GamerLegion39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22012630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed GamerLegion46c1,973$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.225248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed GamerLegion41c1,831$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.2444645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Virtus.pro57c1,750$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9921264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed GamerLegion44c1,734$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.9253764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion41c1,644$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6348539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82536851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Virtus.pro59c1,494$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.6212536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion46c1,464$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.9996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed GamerLegion41c1,463$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4134051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Virtus.pro59c1,441$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro54c1,377$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.3872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Virtus.pro58c1,336$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7774647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion46c1,322$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.2837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked GamerLegion46c1,231$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7313851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed GamerLegion42c1,165$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.5124251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Virtus.pro30c1,115$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3512248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked Virtus.pro60c1,100$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6608469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion55c1,043$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.1868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Virtus.pro74c1,030$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.8279959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Virtus.pro3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.58918%16 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Virtus.pro54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9931547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro44c990.05$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3358943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion45c893.99$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.891,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GamerLegion51c886.25$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.451,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Virtus.pro20c810.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6624034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion39c804.67$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.941,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion36c767.3$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked GamerLegion41c755.13$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2217146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked GamerLegion40c751.26$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4210618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed GamerLegion55c749.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed GamerLegion39c747.68$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.938142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GamerLegion53c740.21$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.351,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro50c735.71$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.51,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed GamerLegion40c718.46$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.987541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro68c675.1$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7786451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked GamerLegion47c671.4$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8413157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro55c666$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.350347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked GamerLegion44c659.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.91250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion47c653.37$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.411,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Virtus.pro59c650$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro3c644.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Virtus.pro61c640.34$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.613969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion57c600$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro52c578.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Virtus.pro59c574.99$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.244035%14 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro48c562.51$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Virtus.pro72c562.05$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.8623555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed GamerLegion41c560.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked GamerLegion59c541.12$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3226956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Virtus.pro58c538.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Virtus.pro25c513.79$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6824343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf5…45b6backed GamerLegion42c506$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed GamerLegion42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29010048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virtus.pro60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked GamerLegion40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed GamerLegion51c500$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.473562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed GamerLegion41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9944149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro48c495.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.381,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.