TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof Virtus.pro, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro59c58,322$34,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,216.361,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed GamerLegion39c14,787$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,980.6369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro2c14,000$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed GamerLegion43c10,000$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.5142650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion54c9,584$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.2340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro61c7,227$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40016954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion48c6,388$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.481,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked GamerLegion37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GamerLegion46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70019847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro44c3,532$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.662,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked GamerLegion60c2,765$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.566569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GamerLegion45c2,496$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.6556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed GamerLegion61c2,479$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.2343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed GamerLegion47c2,415$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.225248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked GamerLegion46c2,348$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.0734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion47c2,234$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.0241351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Virtus.pro54c2,160$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.2426550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro54c2,130$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9995342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion40c1,947$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.971,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Virtus.pro43c1,932$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83213442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked GamerLegion56c1,903$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3225446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion50c1,867$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.751,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion50c1,819$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.21,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion53c1,774$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.8968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro33c1,688$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Virtus.pro27c1,499$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GamerLegion47c1,494$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.1535951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion44c1,392$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.9737945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked GamerLegion46c1,266$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.6413851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed GamerLegion47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8335151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion40c1,072$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0460646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion58c1,000$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed GamerLegion44c1,000$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.318550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed GamerLegion42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Virtus.pro54c989.99$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro55c957.76$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Virtus.pro52c897$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1824636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro42c819.69$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.621,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked GamerLegion49c777$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro46c774.31$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.181,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked GamerLegion43c713.34$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.629548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Virtus.pro41c710$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.137047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GamerLegion59c698.37$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.851,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro45c666.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.452,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Virtus.pro58c665.47$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1921346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Virtus.pro39c614.97$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4426956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion39c600$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Virtus.pro54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Virtus.pro55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30061449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Virtus.pro56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GamerLegion52c532.65$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.651,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked GamerLegion44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28020452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed GamerLegion64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Virtus.pro5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258918%16 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Virtus.pro57c449.29$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed GamerLegion41c428.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Virtus.pro42c422.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.665940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Virtus.pro53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Virtus.pro54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Virtus.pro53c363$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3910244.1%45 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Virtus.pro54c357.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9335062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Virtus.pro29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked GamerLegion45c340$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5914454.2%78 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro43c316$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro14c305.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.791,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed GamerLegion46c253$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6241050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Virtus.pro54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9947951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro39c244.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Virtus.pro61c202.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.141080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Virtus.pro54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10865863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed GamerLegion39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12213551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed GamerLegion45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Virtus.pro57c185$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4523555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Virtus.pro42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.724353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GamerLegion66c176.39$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5577256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked GamerLegion47c173.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.739550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro40c169$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.661548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro54c147.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4553139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Virtus.pro59c142.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.191450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro36c142$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.671,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed Virtus.pro25c137$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.310939.4%43 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed GamerLegion44c136.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.238647.7%41 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked GamerLegion43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2115957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Virtus.pro39c134.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.216152.2%84 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro17c114.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion46c110.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.771,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Virtus.pro58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro58c102$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0258250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Virtus.pro47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9566848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed GamerLegion39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6124041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…05a0backed Virtus.pro35c97.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.229210.9%10 W · 82 L-18.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro46c95.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Virtus.pro44c91.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2114039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.