Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5e728c663de5513424125896d565b75d1ebd85388e39b9bc4659834f13a8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 9,157$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.38 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 46c | 6,290$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 3,794$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…451bbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…41babacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 999.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.8 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 990.35$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.66 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed Over | 46c | 970.75$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…78c7backed Over | 46c | 951.43$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Over | 46c | 905.73$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed Over | 46c | 568.23$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 554.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Under | 54c | 505$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…22f6backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 374.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 45c | 373.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 244 | 35.7%87 W · 157 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 19c | 327.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.59 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 279$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 51c | 178.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 55c | 118.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 54c | 118.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 36c | 79.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 78.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 55c | 56.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 48.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 55c | 48.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Under | 53c | 40.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 40.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.