Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6fcc374b787f27e2ae62c9785fbe805a28e2a4983846706a7b3fd9c72fad7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Shifters, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8430…3961backed Shifters | 0c | 24,392$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Galions | 47c | 17,573$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,313.45 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Shifters | 70c | 15,140$10,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,597.92 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Galions | 36c | 10,426$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.34 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Shifters | 16c | 4,700$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.08 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Galions | 46c | 2,448$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.22 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Shifters | 52c | 2,405$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.45 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shifters | 72c | 2,294$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.37 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Shifters | 53c | 2,096$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.71 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…c0aabacked Galions | 47c | 2,050$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.49 | 330 | 58.5%193 W · 137 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Galions | 65c | 2,000$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.12 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Galions | 21c | 1,926$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Shifters | 59c | 1,890$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.78 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Shifters | 13c | 1,687$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shifters | 75c | 1,564$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.48 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shifters | 59c | 1,526$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.5 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shifters | 54c | 1,501$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.1 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shifters | 53c | 1,447$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.62 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shifters | 3c | 1,349$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shifters | 44c | 1,141$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shifters | 53c | 1,112$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shifters | 45c | 1,034$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.56 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Shifters | 1c | 1,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Galions | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Shifters | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shifters | 57c | 925.97$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.96 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Galions | 26c | 875.36$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.77 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 50c | 863.91$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 9c | 764$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Shifters | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shifters | 8c | 745.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Shifters | 53c | 736.02$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Shifters | 74c | 700$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shifters | 53c | 627.96$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Galions | 74c | 622.2$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Galions | 23c | 615$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Galions | 27c | 600$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +11.4wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Galions | 67c | 593.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shifters | 10c | 562.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Galions | 37c | 500$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Galions | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters | 65c | 462.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Shifters | 60c | 450$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Shifters | 44c | 439.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions | 46c | 432.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Galions | 32c | 432.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Galions | 23c | 425$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Galions | 23c | 425$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Galions | 51c | 395$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions | 48c | 394.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Galions | 36c | 382.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Galions | 55c | 364.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed Shifters | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shifters | 31c | 332.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Shifters | 56c | 331.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Shifters | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Galions | 28c | 322.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shifters | 54c | 320.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Galions | 48c | 305.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Galions | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 13cpaid | +185.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Galions | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Galions | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 12cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Galions | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Galions | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Galions | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Galions | 34c | 300$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Galions | 46c | 299.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Galions | 24c | 288.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Galions | 32c | 267$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Galions | 36c | 262.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Galions | 21c | 256$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Galions | 64c | 251$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shifters | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Galions | 35c | 237.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…137dbacked Shifters | 64c | 233.41$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Shifters | 67c | 225$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…e38bbacked Shifters | 32c | 223.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…deb1backed Shifters | 73c | 219.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Galions | 47c | 214.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Shifters | 56c | 202.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Shifters | 53c | 201.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 30c | 200.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Galions | 34c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shifters | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Galions | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Shifters | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Galions | 34c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Galions | 34c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Galions | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…c866backed Shifters | 40c | 184.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Galions | 51c | 179.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Shifters | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Shifters | 73c | 159.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Shifters | 65c | 154.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Shifters | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Shifters | 72c | 147.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.