TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Shifters, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8430…3961backed Shifters0c24,392$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Galions47c17,573$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,313.4520339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Shifters70c15,140$10,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,597.9239964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Galions36c10,426$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.3467760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Shifters16c4,700$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.0897427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Galions46c2,448$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.2267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Shifters52c2,405$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.4575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shifters72c2,294$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.372,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Shifters53c2,096$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.7115644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Galions47c2,050$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.4933058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Galions65c2,000$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.1253355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed Galions21c1,926$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.644560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Shifters59c1,890$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.7886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Shifters13c1,687$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7813936%50 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Shifters75c1,564$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.481,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shifters59c1,526$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.52,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shifters54c1,501$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.12,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Shifters53c1,447$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.621,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Shifters3c1,349$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.161,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Shifters44c1,141$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.642,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Shifters53c1,112$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59490537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Shifters45c1,034$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.561,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b6…43d6backed Shifters1c1,021$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Galions39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Galions46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Shifters54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9966059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Shifters57c925.97$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9652848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Galions26c875.36$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.771,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters50c863.91$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.961,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Shifters9c764$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8756…3c83backed Shifters55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.58543.5%37 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Shifters8c745.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.461,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Shifters53c736.02$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39323341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Shifters74c700$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52066843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shifters53c627.96$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9140145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Galions74c622.2$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0243358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Galions23c615$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.25322.6%12 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Galions27c600$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Galions67c593.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2215759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shifters10c562.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Shifters53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Galions37c500$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.561143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Galions50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25086251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters65c462.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.821,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Shifters60c450$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.542852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Shifters44c439.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.66243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions46c432.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.971,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Galions32c432.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5823832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Galions23c425$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.523943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Galions23c425$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.59227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Galions51c395$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9534651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions48c394.94$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.732,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Galions36c382.89$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.018767.8%59 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Galions55c364.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5349253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Shifters55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19826246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shifters31c332.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Shifters56c331.36$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3415357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Shifters54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Galions28c322.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.553139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Shifters54c320.4$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.022,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Galions48c305.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8382836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Galions18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick13cpaid+185.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Galions18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick12cpaid+163.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Galions18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick12cpaid+192.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Galions22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Galions18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461931.6%6 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+113.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Galions33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20135048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Galions34c300$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19743233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Galions46c299.12$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.981,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Galions24c288.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4613249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Galions32c267$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5460738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Galions36c262.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.898749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Galions21c256$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.244621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Galions64c251$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3139956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Shifters58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14595048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Galions35c237.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5414628.8%42 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…137dbacked Shifters64c233.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Shifters67c225$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fe…e38bbacked Shifters32c223.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419e…deb1backed Shifters73c219.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5914154.6%77 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Galions47c214.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8447453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Shifters56c202.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4368557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Shifters53c201.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.272650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Galions30c200.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4554246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Galions34c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3343040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shifters53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10644047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Galions52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9750646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Shifters36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3321242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Galions34c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3338743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Galions34c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3334235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Galions29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14270057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a72…c866backed Shifters40c184.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.135334%18 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Galions51c179.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4537548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed Shifters56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Shifters73c159.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.152035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Shifters65c154.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Shifters45c151.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Shifters72c147.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4246637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.