TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Shifters, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Shifters60c20,000$12,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,034.6792254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Galions78c18,232$14,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.021,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Shifters58c13,261$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,691.6167760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Galions42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Galions42c9,251$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,328.6220339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Galions42c8,626$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.152,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Shifters57c5,001$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.51,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions30c3,838$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.9475942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Shifters53c3,600$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.9933642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Shifters5c3,349$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7119743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Shifters17c2,610$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.711,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Shifters64c2,566$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.7518467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Shifters72c2,500$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.5882953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Galions43c2,330$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.132345.5%147 W · 176 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Shifters20c2,100$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.011,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Galions49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8219640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Shifters59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18020045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Shifters59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions30c1,506$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.52,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Shifters1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Galions42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87011936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Galions43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9910648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Shifters2c1,388$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.381541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions42c1,381$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.282,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed Shifters1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317335.8%62 W · 111 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Shifters5c1,278$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.83,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Galions42c1,250$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72510541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Shifters57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57028253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Galions42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Shifters3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Galions40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.071,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Galions67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33078549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Shifters2c984$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171497.4%11 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Shifters62c968.17$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions58c961.27$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.672,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Shifters55c946.95$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6737548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Galions39c886.1$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7840145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Shifters57c884$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8812260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked Shifters61c861.4$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.623438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a0f…732abacked Shifters66c796.83$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52513441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Galions43c781.8$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6338640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Galions56c765$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.153633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Shifters4c753.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Shifters60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025265.5%165 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Shifters29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.514352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Shifters44c734.31$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.558235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Shifters57c685.12$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5254829.6%162 W · 386 L-36.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Shifters18c664.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.871,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Shifters48c627.44$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4839859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Galions47c616$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.630643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Galions45c611.8$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.471,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed Shifters57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Shifters57c599.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9948135.3%170 W · 311 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Galions41c598.35$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0315046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Galions43c560$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.24346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Shifters57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.148243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Shifters32c520.53$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0822245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed Shifters61c505.62$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Galions42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shifters32c500$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.545937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Galions42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907945.6%36 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shifters55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Galions43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285651.5%1 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-96.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Shifters57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28566459.8%397 W · 267 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Galions44c490.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.911667.2%78 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed Galions45c489$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.952334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Galions37c460.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7367931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Shifters60c448$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.82045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Galions40c444$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.41,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065563.2%414 W · 241 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bae…ae9fbacked Shifters59c400.23$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6424563.7%156 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Shifters57c380.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2179538.9%37 W · 58 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Shifters57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Shifters60c347.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.971,11748.8%545 W · 572 L+40.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Galions40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19527251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Shifters31c319.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.991,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Shifters64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20083149.8%414 W · 417 L+2.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Shifters64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Galions40c311.15$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Galions36c306.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.71,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Galions34c301.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.911,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Shifters60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Shifters60c275$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Shifters61c272.6$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.297847.4%37 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Shifters67c270.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18051848.3%250 W · 268 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Shifters59c262.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1510959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed Galions41c250.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.017256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Galions47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Galions40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Shifters50c250$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249754.6%53 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Galions41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.530251.3%155 W · 147 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Galions67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.561343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Shifters58c243.62$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.324038.3%92 W · 148 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shifters11c206.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d67…ec57backed Shifters61c204.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Galions45c200.88$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.631,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Galions40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Galions50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Shifters60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Galions41c186$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7458420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.