Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb205b92f159e50969ccc910ac7df21a20e7b944d179122a33809145adf069beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Shifters, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Galions | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.96 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Shifters | 3c | 10,250$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 22c | 7,772$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.85 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Galions | 47c | 6,508$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.47 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Shifters | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Shifters | 74c | 5,901$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Galions | 23c | 5,597$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.14 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Galions | 51c | 5,162$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.24 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Shifters | 62c | 4,897$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.46 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 10c | 4,015$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shifters | 51c | 3,507$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.48 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Shifters | 3c | 3,295$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Galions | 52c | 3,243$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.61 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Shifters | 11c | 2,546$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shifters | 2c | 2,522$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shifters | 62c | 2,502$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.59 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions | 50c | 2,480$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.88 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Shifters | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Shifters | 22c | 2,172$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.14 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Galions | 56c | 2,047$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.67 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Galions | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shifters | 44c | 1,749$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.45 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Shifters | 53c | 1,625$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shifters | 67c | 1,550$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.58 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shifters | 57c | 1,542$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.33 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Shifters | 1c | 1,501$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Shifters | 56c | 1,482$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.15 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shifters | 55c | 1,450$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.74 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Galions | 59c | 1,447$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.27 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shifters | 52c | 1,401$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.69 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Shifters | 1c | 1,346$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…b4fabacked Shifters | 49c | 1,300$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shifters | 61c | 1,135$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.71 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shifters | 33c | 1,029$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Galions | 53c | 1,019$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.93 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shifters | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Shifters | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Shifters | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Shifters | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Shifters | 5c | 967.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shifters | 66c | 964.26$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.61 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Shifters | 2c | 906.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shifters | 52c | 888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Shifters | 53c | 888$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 53c | 854$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.62 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shifters | 65c | 829.13$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.37 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Shifters | 55c | 827.82$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.51 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Shifters | 54c | 800.61$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Shifters | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Shifters | 80c | 745.52$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.42 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shifters | 68c | 738.7$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.76 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Shifters | 63c | 717.2$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.67 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Shifters | 53c | 695.87$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.81 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Shifters | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Shifters | 48c | 616.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Shifters | 12c | 606$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Shifters | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Galions | 48c | 579.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.19 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Shifters | 3c | 550$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Shifters | 54c | 549.26$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shifters | 52c | 466.84$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Galions | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Galions | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shifters | 53c | 410$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed Shifters | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Galions | 49c | 394.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters | 51c | 394.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Shifters | 28c | 389.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 53c | 375.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Shifters | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Shifters | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Galions | 50c | 340.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Galions | 40c | 339.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 409 | 49.9%204 W · 205 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Shifters | 53c | 338.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shifters | 44c | 327.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Galions | 31c | 300$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Shifters | 15c | 289$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Galions | 53c | 284.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Shifters | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Shifters | 46c | 259.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Galions | 54c | 250.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shifters | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Galions | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Shifters | 52c | 240.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…3b93backed Galions | 48c | 240.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed Shifters | 9c | 239.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Galions | 32c | 239.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Galions | 48c | 224.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Shifters | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galions | 45c | 206.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shifters | 62c | 204$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Galions | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Shifters | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Shifters | 13c | 193.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…bd24backed Shifters | 53c | 191.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Shifters | 52c | 190.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shifters | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.