TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1bf7…3b93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT6254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.96
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$15.16
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.47
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$39.64
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.74
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$19.1
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.21
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.95
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.27
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.93
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$111.83
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$73.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$15.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.51
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.9
Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$6.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$67.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.