Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05e7b007c2df0395efaa509f16d33268b8ff4dee131f64282fb756eb0576e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Citadel Gaming | 31c | 3,172$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.68 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Citadel Gaming | 13c | 1,922$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Winthrop University | 71c | 1,685$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.24 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University | 73c | 1,262$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Winthrop University | 51c | 1,034$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.54 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Winthrop University | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…0e69backed Citadel Gaming | 44c | 800.22$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University | 69c | 625.69$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University | 77c | 609.2$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University | 68c | 600$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…3b93backed Citadel Gaming | 36c | 559.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Citadel Gaming | 31c | 508$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Citadel Gaming | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Winthrop University | 60c | 429.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Citadel Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 33c | 382$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Citadel Gaming | 24c | 279.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Citadel Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Winthrop University | 66c | 203.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Winthrop University | 62c | 193.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Citadel Gaming | 29c | 174.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Citadel Gaming | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Citadel Gaming | 32c | 157.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Winthrop University | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Winthrop University | 74c | 134.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Citadel Gaming | 32c | 114.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Citadel Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 82.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Citadel Gaming | 36c | 69.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Winthrop University | 67c | 66.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Winthrop University | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Citadel Gaming | 39c | 61.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Citadel Gaming | 42c | 61.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Winthrop University | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Citadel Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Winthrop University | 41c | 46.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Citadel Gaming | 34c | 34.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Citadel Gaming | 38c | 31.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Winthrop University | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Winthrop University | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Citadel Gaming | 39c | 29.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked Winthrop University | 69c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 133 | 72.2%96 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.