Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6f0195a68788c333517f453474d5f1da0a3249d271a02366dc680da7a2dc34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Citadel Gaming | 5c | 1,346$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Winthrop University | 52c | 1,098$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University | 72c | 670.65$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 48c | 644.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.45 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Winthrop University | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Citadel Gaming | 36c | 530.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Citadel Gaming | 53c | 515.37$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Citadel Gaming | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Citadel Gaming | 46c | 278.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Winthrop University | 54c | 269.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University | 55c | 252.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Citadel Gaming | 42c | 213.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Winthrop University | 61c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Citadel Gaming | 50c | 150.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Winthrop University | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 128.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Winthrop University | 52c | 119.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Winthrop University | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Citadel Gaming | 10c | 100.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Citadel Gaming | 49c | 95.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Citadel Gaming | 61c | 82.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Winthrop University | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Winthrop University | 53c | 78.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 59c | 73.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…4e2cbacked Winthrop University | 50c | 66.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Citadel Gaming | 29c | 64.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Winthrop University | 55c | 63.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 55.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Citadel Gaming | 47c | 54.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Citadel Gaming | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Citadel Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Winthrop University | 59c | 45.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Citadel Gaming | 46c | 43.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…03e9backed Citadel Gaming | 48c | 41.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Winthrop University | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Citadel Gaming | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Citadel Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed Winthrop University | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Citadel Gaming | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Winthrop University | 57c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Winthrop University | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.