Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822779b662dd63a89d0b0a2d758da4a6f1fc36d364918344f87e7bd9dbd220a2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Leviatán Esports
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1a35…6fe0backed FURIA Esports	46c	6,600$3,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,563.99	156	42.3%66 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports	52c	6,442$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked FURIA Esports	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.09	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports	57c	1,918$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.01	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed FURIA Esports	57c	1,750$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.5	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA Esports	30c	1,500$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	320	47.8%153 W · 167 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports	39c	1,176$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.14	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports	50c	1,066$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.17	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed FURIA Esports	47c	1,008$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.94	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports	57c	958.17$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.47	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Leviatán Esports	26c	935.33$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports	51c	824.95$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.95	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Esports	24c	798.5$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.74	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports	51c	756.57$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.26	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Leviatán Esports	61c	750$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.95	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Leviatán Esports	26c	714.62$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.64	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed FURIA Esports	28c	449$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.79	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports	47c	416.71$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.28	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed FURIA Esports	38c	399.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247	321	52.6%169 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Leviatán Esports	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Esports	53c	371.27$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.27	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports	54c	345.36$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.12	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed FURIA Esports	59c	332.6$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.89	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Leviatán Esports	67c	249.99$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Leviatán Esports	54c	223.15$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Leviatán Esports	58c	219.1$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.08	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Leviatán Esports	46c	217.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed FURIA Esports	48c	199.98$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Leviatán Esports	69c	188.41$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Leviatán Esports	54c	186$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed FURIA Esports	51c	185.29$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.87	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Leviatán Esports	27c	183.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Leviatán Esports	53c	179$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.01	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed FURIA Esports	47c	170.64$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed Leviatán Esports	49c	156.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.86	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked FURIA Esports	38c	154.87$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.93	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed FURIA Esports	38c	154.71$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.71	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcead…afeabacked Leviatán Esports	39c	154.62$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leviatán Esports	48c	153.85$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Leviatán Esports	21c	145$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed FURIA Esports	34c	141.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.61	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Leviatán Esports	59c	140.69$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.69	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leviatán Esports	58c	139.72$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.04	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bf7…3b93backed Leviatán Esports	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FURIA Esports	39c	130.15$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.52	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports	42c	126$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.08	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed FURIA Esports	53c	122.61$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.61	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked FURIA Esports	42c	120$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Leviatán Esports	54c	111.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.37	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked FURIA Esports	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed FURIA Esports	76c	91.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports	47c	85.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.37	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Leviatán Esports	41c	84.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports	47c	84.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.7	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed FURIA Esports	61c	82.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports	40c	75.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.22	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Leviatán Esports	46c	68.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Leviatán Esports	43c	65.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed FURIA Esports	40c	62.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Leviatán Esports	53c	59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA Esports	33c	57.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.34	285	41.1%117 W · 168 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Leviatán Esports	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c03…ffcdbacked FURIA Esports	36c	55.7$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FURIA Esports	60c	49.37$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed FURIA Esports	55c	46.84$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.31	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports	47c	44.79$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports	46c	43.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked FURIA Esports	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Leviatán Esports	40c	41.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Leviatán Esports	60c	40.11$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Leviatán Esports	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	181	43.6%79 W · 102 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports	53c	39.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked FURIA Esports	47c	39.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.19	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed36…cd18backed Leviatán Esports	70c	35.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Leviatán Esports	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc984…2ec9backed Leviatán Esports	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.44per pick	69cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa91…c764backed Leviatán Esports	68c	31.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.39per pick	59cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Leviatán Esports	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Leviatán Esports	51c	25.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed FURIA Esports	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed FURIA Esports	46c	24.97$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.41	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked FURIA Esports	50c	24.09$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed FURIA Esports	59c	22.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

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