TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed36…cd18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.29
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.51
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winnerbacked Stray Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.95
Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked SoloTeam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked by Owl Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked SoloTeam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$12.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$9.27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.73
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.