Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211e74b6c2557f6701becbee86273af96a18b3c2369a85566ae7531960c379bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 16,909$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 6,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 4,896$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,575$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.06 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,193$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,166$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,109$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,105$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,095$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 979.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…b346backed PARIVISION | 72c | 929.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 911.11$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 863.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…9a08backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 842.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 805.39$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 765.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 736.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 703.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PARIVISION | 72c | 695.97$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 72c | 692.36$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 690$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 661.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 625$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 559.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…9534backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 543.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 538.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 509.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 504.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 459.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 419.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…1b5fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 414.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 396.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 394.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 373.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 365$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7111backed PARIVISION | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed PARIVISION | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed PARIVISION | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 286.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION | 72c | 283$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PARIVISION | 71c | 280.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 270.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked PARIVISION | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 261.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 239.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 237.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 233.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 209$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…ff51backed PARIVISION | 72c | 204.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…f86fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked PARIVISION | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 78c | 147.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 146$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 145.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed PARIVISION | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed PARIVISION | 73c | 134.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 134.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 128.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 115.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…a8d1backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 109.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 107.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 104.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed PARIVISION | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 96.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 88.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 69c | 87.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…d7c1backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 84.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PARIVISION | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed PARIVISION | 71c | 75.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 72.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed PARIVISION | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed PARIVISION | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 66.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.