Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x633b3cd4be8be5be8d71b747cebde3ff260e7ccf176cf4ce46e8d12241711735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 10,500$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.6 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 10,318$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.9 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 68c | 8,872$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 8,783$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.19 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 7,715$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 5,106$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.14 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 64c | 3,429$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.6 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,602$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.46 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,280$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.79 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,199$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…bb22backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,809$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,807$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.95 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,744$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.4 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,611$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,418$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.37 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,398$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,355$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,137$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,070$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.8 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,027$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,005$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,000$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 979$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 927.9$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 820.74$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 777.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed PARIVISION | 65c | 766.97$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 698.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 648.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION | 75c | 623.75$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 599.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 596$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 575$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 570.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 555.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 78c | 552.03$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 550.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 501$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 446.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 407.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 404.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 359.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 68c | 350$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PARIVISION | 76c | 333.29$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 324$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 76c | 316.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 282.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 256.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 229$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 220$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 65c | 215.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed PARIVISION | 78c | 211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 205.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…9a66backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 178.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 176$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 172.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 162.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed PARIVISION | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 151.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 145.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION | 70c | 145.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 145.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 140.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 134.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 124.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 122.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 67c | 119.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 117.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…1b5fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PARIVISION | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 75.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.