Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8993204379032dbebc6f075e04b7d3e5a5b4bbb01a61fa6f2f4c25ec6005acc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 67c | 16,435$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.04 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 12,394$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.17 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 10,658$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.99 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 7,879$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.04 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 6,616$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.33 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 6,092$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,236$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.67 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,186$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 68c | 3,648$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.69 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed PARIVISION | 76c | 3,154$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,984$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.08 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,597$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,555$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,500$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,400$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,340$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.23 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,335$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,100$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,080$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,072$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.92 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,053$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,014$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.67 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 999.28$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 983.04$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 849.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 67c | 835.43$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 812$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 62c | 719.63$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 628.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 614.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 608.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 607.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 607.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 595.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 521.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 496.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 495$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 437.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 433.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 69c | 392$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 360.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 346$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 337$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 334.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 303.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PARIVISION | 66c | 300.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 65c | 267.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 229.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 215$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 211.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 188$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 169.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 161$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 152.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 65c | 151.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PARIVISION | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…f89fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 150.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 150.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 112.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION | 69c | 110.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed PARIVISION | 67c | 110.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 100.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…a5a8backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed PARIVISION | 65c | 81.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed PARIVISION | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…9179backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 73c | 61.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 58.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed PARIVISION | 69c | 58.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.