Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37b2c1525f3922edc7a6746ed6e14c47796f7c0038a8ac84bc93c251566a35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoloTeamof SoloTeam, Nix Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed Nix Team | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Nix Team | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Nix Team | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked SoloTeam | 63c | 1,176$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Nix Team | 54c | 1,053$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nix Team | 8c | 1,041$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nix Team | 8c | 1,041$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nix Team | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked SoloTeam | 48c | 620$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nix Team | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nix Team | 47c | 455.13$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed SoloTeam | 78c | 381.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SoloTeam | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nix Team | 16c | 291$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nix Team | 34c | 248.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nix Team | 50c | 216.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nix Team | 16c | 213$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed SoloTeam | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nix Team | 61c | 99.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked SoloTeam | 80c | 77.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nix Team | 58c | 68.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Nix Team | 44c | 67.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked SoloTeam | 66c | 60.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Nix Team | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nix Team | 49c | 44.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…551ebacked SoloTeam | 41c | 37.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nix Team | 69c | 26.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…cd18backed SoloTeam | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SoloTeam | 50c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed SoloTeam | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…fd2bbacked SoloTeam | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…dbffbacked SoloTeam | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsSoloTeam won
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 1 WinnerSoloTeam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.