Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e396df450f32ecd98ca2cc7bce97e4ca904410e0725cd0c7e9a2fc174d68017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoloTeamof SoloTeam, Nix Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Nix Team | 6c | 829.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked SoloTeam | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Nix Team | 19c | 159.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…64b9backed Nix Team | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nix Team | 42c | 130.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked SoloTeam | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Nix Team | 31c | 103.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…9e5bbacked SoloTeam | 74c | 60.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed SoloTeam | 49c | 55.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…8371backed SoloTeam | 72c | 50.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224d…50ddbacked SoloTeam | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Nix Team | 42c | 29.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…80fbbacked SoloTeam | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed SoloTeam | 74c | 24.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SoloTeam | 68c | 22.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…daa9backed Nix Team | 61c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked SoloTeam | 71c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 1 WinnerSoloTeam won
- Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 2 WinnerSoloTeam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.