Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c4005c06eb70dbcc1dedff07295642f422de27e66191e285f0e4876b8e520b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 32,348$25,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.21 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked OG | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed OG | 23c | 17,051$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.37 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed OG | 21c | 7,489$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.47 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 4,404$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.96 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Team Spirit | 80c | 4,222$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.31 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 18c | 3,959$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.29 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Spirit | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 20c | 3,561$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 77c | 3,262$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.34 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed OG | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 14c | 2,929$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,783$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.17 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 2,684$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 78c | 2,642$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.04 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 2,528$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 24c | 2,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 2,454$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit | 79c | 2,449$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.65 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 21c | 2,408$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.83 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 14c | 2,250$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Spirit | 79c | 2,215$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed OG | 23c | 1,612$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,528$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked OG | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,429$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.52 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…c1dbbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,413$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 14c | 1,386$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,359$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.44 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 5c | 1,300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,093$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,012$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed OG | 20c | 1,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked OG | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed OG | 16c | 996.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed Team Spirit | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 946.85$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.27 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 79c | 924$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 12c | 907.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 18c | 887.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed OG | 22c | 856.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked OG | 21c | 830$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed OG | 24c | 791.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 15c | 695$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 20c | 690.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked OG | 22c | 650$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 649.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed OG | 24c | 635.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Team Spirit | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 20c | 606.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 14c | 557.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked OG | 27c | 554.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OG | 5c | 474.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked OG | 11c | 452.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Spirit | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed OG | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OG | 16c | 372.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 19c | 369$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed OG | 19c | 350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…7f52backed OG | 15c | 331.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 27c | 318.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Spirit | 80c | 292.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…5603backed Team Spirit | 76c | 279.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed OG | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 20c | 255.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed OG | 21c | 239.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 77c | 214.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked OG | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 199.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 21c | 193.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 191.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 170.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed OG | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked OG | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked OG | 16c | 151.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked OG | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 16c | 143.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit | 78c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 21c | 137.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 122.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…3616backed Team Spirit | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked OG | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Team Spirit | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed OG | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…9563backed OG | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed OG | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.