TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit78c32,348$25,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.2128159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked OG20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed OG23c17,051$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.3722848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed OG21c7,489$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.4729042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked OG21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit78c4,404$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.9619847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…6ed0backed Team Spirit80c4,222$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.311989.5%17 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+42.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed OG18c3,959$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.2945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Spirit80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed OG20c3,561$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.5368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit77c3,262$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3449455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9815144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked OG14c2,929$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit75c2,783$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.1723561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Spirit79c2,684$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6413851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit78c2,642$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.0456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Spirit80c2,528$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5413854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG24c2,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit80c2,454$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit79c2,449$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6510075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed OG21c2,408$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG14c2,250$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.51,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Spirit79c2,215$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.1425248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked OG25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed OG23c1,612$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7625935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit75c1,528$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.946451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked OG22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33077256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit78c1,429$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5235151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7c4…c1dbbacked Team Spirit77c1,413$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked OG14c1,386$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit74c1,359$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.441,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed OG5c1,300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit79c1,093$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5224153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Team Spirit74c1,012$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.164647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed OG20c1,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3637655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked OG21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed OG21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Spirit74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit79c999.99$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21041351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed OG16c996.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0212136.4%44 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x677d…53f0backed Team Spirit76c986.84$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit76c946.85$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit79c924$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0436248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG12c907.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.581,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked OG18c887.65$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.850749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…e867backed OG22c856.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.26633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked OG21c830$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.310541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed OG24c791.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked OG15c695$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed OG20c690.54$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked OG22c650$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit76c649.28$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8327060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed OG24c635.47$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5127737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Team Spirit80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG20c606.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12148539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked OG14c557.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.741,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked OG27c554.05$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0517146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed OG5c474.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7469132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked OG11c452.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.363225%8 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Spirit78c444$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6841050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed OG22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8874549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed OG20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed OG16c372.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1620030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG19c369$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.791,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed OG19c350$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.120820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc1…7f52backed OG15c331.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.686841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed OG27c318.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8725444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Team Spirit77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6912452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Team Spirit80c292.5$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.522868%155 W · 73 L+15.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…5603backed Team Spirit76c279.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed OG11c272$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9221333.3%71 W · 142 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked OG20c255.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.961,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked OG25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.549644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed OG21c239.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9929432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit77c214.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2955561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb009…7a8ebacked OG7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4888166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…744fbacked Team Spirit74c199.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed OG21c193.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.681,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit78c191.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3648053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Team Spirit78c170.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.774060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed OG28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked OG23c156.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked OG16c151.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7637223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked OG22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG16c143.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.282,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit78c140$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG21c137.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked Team Spirit74c122.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.878848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c9…3616backed Team Spirit79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.116350.9%83 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d2…0cefbacked OG27c103$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Team Spirit74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041864.1%268 W · 150 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed OG25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259352.7%49 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf842…9563backed OG25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257736.4%28 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed OG23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2380742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2692561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.