Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e7e13778c1828c750a29ea3add6a0cbaa847bfe47959b3f5337f5738a0e437f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Spiritof Team Spirit, OG
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9ee0…1006backed OG	0c	49,990$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked OG	19c	5,125$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.66	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed OG	19c	4,533$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.27	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed OG	24c	3,486$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.52	337	46.3%156 W · 181 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit	80c	2,750$2,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.52	329	51.7%170 W · 159 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit	75c	2,466$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.59	223	40.4%90 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked OG	20c	2,310$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.86	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed OG	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG	25c	1,838$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.02	198	47%93 W · 105 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked OG	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit	79c	1,400$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed OG	21c	1,398$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.1	303	57.1%173 W · 130 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG	11c	1,360$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.35	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG	16c	1,219$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.15	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG	14c	1,160$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.15	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed OG	18c	891.98$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.56	291	43.6%127 W · 164 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit	80c	640$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	270	60%162 W · 108 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Team Spirit	79c	633$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.93	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked OG	19c	616.48$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.13	138	54.3%75 W · 63 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed OG	9c	601.88$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG	18c	600$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Spirit	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	210	45.7%96 W · 114 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed OG	18c	489.46$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.1	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit	79c	369$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.49	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit	77c	357.09$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.91	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit	76c	357.08$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.07	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked OG	9c	354.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked OG	21c	350$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed OG	21c	332.95$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	217	69.1%150 W · 67 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee4…a02abacked Team Spirit	80c	312.5$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	136	58.1%79 W · 57 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed OG	20c	285.71$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked OG	16c	271.18$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed OG	15c	260.94$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed OG	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed OG	20c	240$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	294	32.3%95 W · 199 L	-19.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c09…a8d1backed OG	6c	215.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed OG	11c	214.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	308	34.1%105 W · 203 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407a…6ebdbacked Team Spirit	78c	201.14$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.25	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed OG	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed OG	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked OG	18c	199.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked OG	20c	190$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed OG	19c	180.21$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	381	42%160 W · 221 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed OG	9c	176$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	678	53.5%363 W · 315 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit	79c	164.38$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed OG	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed OG	19c	149.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	408	44.1%180 W · 228 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed OG	20c	139.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a5…fdd3backed Team Spirit	79c	136$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.56	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked OG	23c	125.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd351…dddabacked OG	20c	121.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked OG	19c	121.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked OG	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	59.9%85 W · 57 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…c849backed OG	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked OG	22c	103$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	105	61%64 W · 41 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed OG	10c	102.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9224…b43bbacked OG	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	42.6%72 W · 97 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Team Spirit	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed OG	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	139	41.7%58 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	418	64.1%268 W · 150 L	+17.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed OG	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed OG	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	925	61.2%566 W · 359 L	+53.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit	77c	98.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed OG	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed OG	19c	81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	334	45.2%151 W · 183 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Team Spirit	78c	78$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Spirit	80c	75$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	381	67.2%256 W · 125 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed OG	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	215	51.6%111 W · 104 L	+10.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba1…ef52backed OG	19c	73.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked OG	21c	72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…2f2abacked OG	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed OG	19c	65.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed OG	20c	62.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Team Spirit	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	282	52.5%148 W · 134 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed OG	19c	54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed OG	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b3…672bbacked OG	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8b…92c9backed OG	22c	49.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit	79c	36.68$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	375	49.3%185 W · 190 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit	80c	15.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.1	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierthis page
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Team Spirit won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event