Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9981834564182de55e31ae2ae4f3970037993c218b5101ebc4b1595a9498d06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 20c | 38,374$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,574.02 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 71c | 26,936$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 36c | 10,569$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked OG | 32c | 7,406$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 361 | 41.3%149 W · 212 L | -22.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 70c | 4,285$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.07 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,750$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.5 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 3,200$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 956 | 42.1%402 W · 554 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 33c | 2,564$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.23 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 27c | 2,368$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.28 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 9c | 2,116$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,837$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,821$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,812$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.04 | 697 | 44.6%311 W · 386 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed OG | 31c | 1,726$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked OG | 35c | 1,667$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.45 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,660$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,520$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 32c | 1,451$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.28 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,400$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,394$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.07 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,322$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.48 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 15c | 1,313$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,305$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.66 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 19c | 1,079$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,011$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 7c | 1,004$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,002$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.7 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Spirit | 75c | 935.43$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 13c | 887.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 828.07$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 74c | 805.98$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 12c | 799.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 64c | 780$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 778.61$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Spirit | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed OG | 15c | 745.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 588.55$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 31c | 549.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed OG | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 476.14$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 456.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked OG | 26c | 452.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed OG | 28c | 442.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 19c | 440.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked OG | 35c | 430$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team Spirit | 68c | 430$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Spirit | 65c | 398.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 360.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 78c | 357.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed OG | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OG | 14c | 345.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked OG | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed OG | 15c | 281.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 258.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Team Spirit | 78c | 254.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed OG | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked OG | 5c | 249.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed OG | 23c | 242.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked OG | 7c | 238.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 233.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed OG | 26c | 226.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked OG | 34c | 222.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed OG | 13c | 214$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 669 | 48.4%324 W · 345 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 16c | 193$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed OG | 11c | 182.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed OG | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Spirit | 67c | 164.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…cce4backed OG | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 66c | 149.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Spirit | 74c | 147.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Team Spirit | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Spirit | 69c | 140.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Spirit | 79c | 122.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…33c6backed OG | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 117.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…92c9backed OG | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed OG | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 76c | 92.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 75c | 84.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Spirit | 68c | 83.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…2237backed OG | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…7f52backed Team Spirit | 74c | 80.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Team Spirit | 74c | 73.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Spirit | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.