CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77a422bf21123090a456b546624dacc87de00e3e2561f2658d889cd445ab967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $691,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 140,459$92,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,188.41 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz | 29c | 76,687$22,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,239.24 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 25,911$10,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.09 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed TheMongolz | 31c | 21,481$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz | 72c | 19,819$14,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,364.87 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 17,636$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.06 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed TheMongolz | 70c | 13,425$9,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,397.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 11,500$7,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 57c | 10,736$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.13 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.94 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 8,186$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.87 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 7,875$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,665.1 | 222 | 30.2%67 W · 155 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,320$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed TheMongolz | 66c | 6,239$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.73 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,751$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,631$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.57 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed TheMongolz | 29c | 5,504$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.05 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.95 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 4,802$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.55 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,764$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.86 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 4,732$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.35 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,570$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.11 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,545$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.4 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked TheMongolz | 33c | 4,414$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 3,833$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.56 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 42c | 3,700$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.25 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,458$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.17 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 3,299$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.27 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 3,113$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 2,677$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.24 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,640$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.75 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,606$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.15 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,600$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 25c | 2,500$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 2,500$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.99 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…518bbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 2,453$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,445$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.8 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked TheMongolz | 69c | 2,405$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.75 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…a146backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,363$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.31 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed TheMongolz | 26c | 2,339$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 2,335$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed TheMongolz | 67c | 2,329$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,298$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.03 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,274$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.54 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 2,249$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.86 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 2,115$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.42 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,100$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.99 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.6 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,026$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.02 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 2,019$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,000$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.93 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…d9bfbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 1,988$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz | 30c | 1,923$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.19 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b698backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,916$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,822$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,807$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,761$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.48 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,689$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,564$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.51 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 37c | 1,529$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.85 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed TheMongolz | 29c | 1,528$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,504$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.57 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed TheMongolz | 72c | 1,489$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,459$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,439$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.23 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,426$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 24c | 1,402$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,383$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.21 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,282$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,282$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.11 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,270$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.02 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,196$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.16 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,154$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.42 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 49c | 1,149$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz | 48c | 1,131$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,130$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…2e69backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed TheMongolz | 36c | 1,110$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd7…a01fbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,095$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.41 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,075$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,069$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.74 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,069$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.24 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 1,059$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.14 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,045$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,040$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.09 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,032$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.