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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$691,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere66c140,459$92,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,188.4150254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz29c76,687$22,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,239.2423355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz42c25,911$10,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,979.0941340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed TheMongolz31c21,481$6,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,659.156940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz72c19,819$14,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,364.8722468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere37c17,636$6,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,044.061,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed TheMongolz70c13,425$9,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,397.49443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Natus Vincere68c11,500$7,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.984136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz57c10,736$6,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,146.1382143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90075550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9410935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere48c8,186$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.8738546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere28c7,875$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,665.122230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere70c6,320$4,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.641,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed TheMongolz66c6,239$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.7337157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed Natus Vincere43c5,751$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.612152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere36c5,631$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.579232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed TheMongolz29c5,504$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.0523343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Natus Vincere69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5504264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9533359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere49c4,900$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4993844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz50c4,802$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.551,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Natus Vincere69c4,764$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.8610150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz49c4,732$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.351,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Natus Vincere58c4,570$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.1111871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere68c4,545$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.417861.2%109 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked TheMongolz33c4,414$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked TheMongolz29c3,833$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5613947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz42c3,700$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.2589546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Natus Vincere58c3,458$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.1715155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz50c3,299$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.271,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere44c3,113$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.012,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked TheMongolz32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96020248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz55c2,677$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.2483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere57c2,640$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.7517754.8%97 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere57c2,606$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.1518442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Natus Vincere76c2,600$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61913360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz25c2,500$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked TheMongolz53c2,500$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.9931253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x723a…518bbacked TheMongolz50c2,453$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.192770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere42c2,445$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.81,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked TheMongolz69c2,405$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.7526546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc51e…a146backed Natus Vincere78c2,363$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.316764.2%43 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed TheMongolz26c2,339$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz32c2,335$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.415,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed TheMongolz67c2,329$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.861428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere46c2,298$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.036854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed TheMongolz43c2,274$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.5423245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked TheMongolz48c2,249$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.514645.2%66 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Natus Vincere42c2,143$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.8611947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked TheMongolz66c2,115$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.4214257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere41c2,100$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.9911250.9%57 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Natus Vincere67c2,090$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.65347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere30c2,026$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.022,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked TheMongolz27c2,019$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54536145.4%164 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Natus Vincere68c2,000$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9318963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfb…d9bfbacked TheMongolz77c1,988$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.89955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz30c1,923$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.192,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b698backed Natus Vincere52c1,916$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz40c1,822$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.55,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere68c1,807$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.931,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere33c1,761$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.487439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Natus Vincere68c1,689$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.451844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed TheMongolz60c1,564$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.519826.5%26 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed TheMongolz32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz37c1,529$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.852,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed TheMongolz29c1,528$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44324233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere42c1,504$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.5721251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed TheMongolz72c1,489$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07120067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5915970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked TheMongolz29c1,459$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42310137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Natus Vincere69c1,439$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.234660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4568…d9f6backed TheMongolz32c1,426$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.341241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz24c1,402$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.393,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked TheMongolz44c1,383$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.2162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Natus Vincere62c1,282$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere50c1,282$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1112759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Natus Vincere68c1,270$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.281861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere43c1,247$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.022,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Natus Vincere58c1,196$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1612642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere42c1,154$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.4265946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz49c1,149$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz48c1,131$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7219659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Natus Vincere66c1,130$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere40c1,125$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67519148.2%92 W · 99 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04aa…2e69backed Natus Vincere43c1,125$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.254647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed TheMongolz36c1,110$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.857716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55561834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd7…a01fbacked TheMongolz53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5831346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere72c1,095$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Natus Vincere50c1,075$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.377424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Natus Vincere47c1,069$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.7420358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed TheMongolz45c1,069$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked TheMongolz57c1,059$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.149054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed TheMongolz59c1,045$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere63c1,040$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.091,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere68c1,032$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33140349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.