TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports32c15,500$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.1252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG69c13,667$9,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.6228955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed NRG71c6,478$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed FURIA Esports32c4,599$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.9923151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NRG70c4,200$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked FURIA Esports30c3,143$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports30c3,000$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.4141734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FURIA Esports8c2,253$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0641537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed NRG69c1,647$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.0711255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked FURIA Esports11c1,510$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4613044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed NRG71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4354438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed FURIA Esports31c1,274$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed NRG70c1,207$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.143650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed FURIA Esports31c1,194$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG71c1,111$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.076256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed NRG69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed FURIA Esports16c968.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.113641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports24c957.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed FURIA Esports3c874.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked FURIA Esports29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked FURIA Esports30c846.7$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.012343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG63c800$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports30c756$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2425843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed NRG71c740.23$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.15658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FURIA Esports30c725.25$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed NRG71c703.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8618056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed NRG71c651.91$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9119257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed FURIA Esports5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed NRG70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed NRG72c585.51$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.83151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked FURIA Esports17c582.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5814534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f56…b78ebacked NRG72c528.6$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed NRG70c528.57$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.575664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports23c503.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.091,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed FURIA Esports20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed FURIA Esports28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked FURIA Esports38c490.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FURIA Esports9c487$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked FURIA Esports29c462.19$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.793423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed FURIA Esports30c453.52$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0619240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…ea4dbacked FURIA Esports17c453.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.03988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked FURIA Esports3c444.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports28c443.48$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed NRG65c416.84$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.695149%25 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked NRG50c415.44$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7219046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports29c414.03$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed FURIA Esports30c410$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e5…8ce3backed FURIA Esports39c388.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked FURIA Esports3c382$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.256317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports28c377.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7156551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…1622backed FURIA Esports40c372.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG73c344.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4717332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked FURIA Esports30c340.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.533834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FURIA Esports27c320.87$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0445250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed NRG70c319.7$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.916750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FURIA Esports28c308.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8713741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked FURIA Esports30c285.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed FURIA Esports32c283.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7418948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NRG73c274.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7426634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed NRG54c271.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.757044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG74c271.09$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG68c269.3$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.683850%19 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG71c250.3$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0460154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5c…2b44backed NRG66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG80c241.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.311,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked NRG77c228.49$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9421136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports31c217.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9128241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed NRG71c215$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed FURIA Esports30c211.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG65c203.29$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1513642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e7…9f90backed NRG71c200.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed FURIA Esports27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed FURIA Esports28c197.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG55c183.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4410460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG70c175$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG76c173.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.511,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed NRG61c169.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3218647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8442…9df5backed NRG70c166$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.84065%26 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed NRG62c158.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.092556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed FURIA Esports32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked NRG71c154.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.543059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked NRG72c149.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3418653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked NRG65c144.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8815833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed FURIA Esports31c143.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.591020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-55.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked NRG70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked FURIA Esports30c140.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.413836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…74d3backed NRG72c133.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.334165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked FURIA Esports30c123.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed FURIA Esports29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.825245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG65c119.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.261,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…f1d6backed FURIA Esports18c116.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked FURIA Esports33c114$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.827252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FURIA Esports13c108.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741a…ea3ebacked NRG69c107.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed NRG76c106.72$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7827947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA Esports38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed NRG69c104.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.964168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed FURIA Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.