TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1894…f1d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.16
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.91
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+555.7%+$61.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.44
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.23
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+599.9%+$197.95
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.57
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$10.46
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.24
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.56
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.87
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.21
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$31.21
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.43
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$29.2
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.