Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95b469161a61ac47419b9487ba9c483a4d64c2698a58c3c96ca0f376c913e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 10,239$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 33c | 2,212$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 1,108$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 306.12$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 299.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 217.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 12c | 180.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…5d22backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked No | 68c | 50.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 43.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…f1d6backed Yes | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 78c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.