Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd392ea45e8a3ed9295341fff9cf2eda3a1832a3357f02af7b57a362af19ab4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 60c | 3,328$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 25c | 2,837$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 1,773$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.32 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 1,335$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 41c | 996.9$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.17 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 987.05$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 802.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 42c | 490.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes | 75c | 309.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 35c | 286.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 246.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 240.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 170.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 48c | 164.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 47c | 134.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 41c | 131.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 72c | 115.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked No | 58c | 86.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 77.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 43c | 67.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 76c | 65.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 68c | 63.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 27c | 54.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Yes | 42c | 53.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 43c | 50.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 47.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 37c | 46.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 45.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 59c | 42.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 72c | 30.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 59c | 29.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Yes | 44c | 25.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.