CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab0bb2d4f4dcd10af59dd3e7969007dc0fc658bdf1069326da70592c38b59c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA | 72c | 3,385$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 72c | 2,341$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 1,380$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.37 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 945.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 873.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 719.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 651.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 649.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 600.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 72c | 593.62$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 65c | 519.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 460$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 450.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 422.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 66c | 363.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 336$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 242.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked BESTIA | 65c | 205$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed BESTIA | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…3faabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 191.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 182.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed BESTIA | 68c | 162.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…dbf7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 148.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BESTIA | 72c | 141.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed BESTIA | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed BESTIA | 58c | 133.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed BESTIA | 72c | 100.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked BESTIA | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed BESTIA | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked BESTIA | 57c | 87.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 82.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed BESTIA | 52c | 76.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked BESTIA | 73c | 75.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…f1d6backed BESTIA | 57c | 72.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…03c6backed BESTIA | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…64ccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 57.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked BESTIA | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BESTIA | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 67c | 48.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed BESTIA | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…49d7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed BESTIA | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 40.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3128…e9ccbacked BESTIA | 69c | 37.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked BESTIA | 57c | 36.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked BESTIA | 72c | 34.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 26.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…9181backed BESTIA | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…1697backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…1a7ebacked BESTIA | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed BESTIA | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8939…9a14backed BESTIA | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA | 57c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BESTIA | 73c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed BESTIA | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BESTIA | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked BESTIA | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.