CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3bb98e5558360b27a6a7b0f530598132e827424800ff0ba3c4b8850b4ee5f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 65c | 1,040$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 860.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 599.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 65c | 465.8$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 12c | 398.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BESTIA | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 305.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed BESTIA | 56c | 288.36$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 181.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 168.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BESTIA | 55c | 132.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 124.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 109.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA | 65c | 101.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked BESTIA | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…3faabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 66.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked BESTIA | 67c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 61c | 31.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BESTIA | 78c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.