South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20e3b1a6dbd07c23c82efe9fa7478d7f3f4ac31084ea44fae2e03762eee4b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 40c | 46,635$18,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,181.33 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 62c | 25,000$15,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,461.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 30c | 16,670$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.89 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 67c | 15,185$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 61c | 8,442$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.05 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 59c | 8,407$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 8,163$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 60c | 7,105$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.71 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 6,913$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 5,709$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.73 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 24c | 5,174$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.58 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 3,364$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 63c | 3,039$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 2,754$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 5c | 2,409$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 15c | 2,272$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,197$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 25c | 2,094$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.49 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 35c | 1,877$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.26 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 38c | 1,750$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 35c | 1,699$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 39c | 1,690$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.69 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 53c | 1,500$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 61c | 1,368$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.71 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 9c | 1,176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.11 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 22c | 993.62$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 62c | 950$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 928.19$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 32c | 882.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 857.05$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.67 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 820.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 61c | 818.03$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 24c | 732.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 68c | 719.53$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 27c | 682.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 61c | 680.33$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 38c | 650$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 38c | 650$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…10c7backed Yes | 4c | 631.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…c479backed Yes | 62c | 612.54$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 61c | 603.48$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.13 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed No | 74c | 596.62$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 19c | 591$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 589.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.48 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 46c | 557.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Yes | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…57d6backed Yes | 45c | 540.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…4be3backed Yes | 62c | 540.32$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 40c | 511.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 30c | 456.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 59c | 439.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 36c | 430$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 415.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 413.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 405.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 25c | 389.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked No | 6c | 378.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 36c | 366$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 3c | 362.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 354.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…7c45backed Yes | 63c | 349.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 349.13$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 58c | 346.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 40c | 335$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 40c | 333$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 32c | 331.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…7b5abacked No | 68c | 329.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…a090backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…f573backed Yes | 62c | 317.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 28c | 312.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…b928backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 43c | 297.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 38c | 292$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 62c | 290.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 16c | 289.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes | 27c | 242.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…1920backed Yes | 5c | 235.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 7c | 234.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 41c | 234.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.