South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6081e2dab0a2062c95eb5dba211a7f2a8b73a277a892ddf1a8b77fd2bee65393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 14c | 14,997$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.52 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,700$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 3,194$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.26 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed No | 59c | 3,003$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 16c | 1,592$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 58c | 999.89$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked No | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 829.53$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed No | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 15c | 599.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 70c | 516.87$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 12c | 496.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 78c | 455.9$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 418.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 14c | 401.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 42c | 378.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Yes | 52c | 371.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 333.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 28c | 325.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 17c | 285.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 37c | 268.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed No | 61c | 244.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 9c | 239.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 14c | 210.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 202.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 182.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 68c | 175.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…4248backed Yes | 24c | 169.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +236.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 20c | 166.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed No | 53c | 144$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 67c | 144$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 55c | 136.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 41c | 123.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…6d3cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 42c | 119.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed No | 59c | 118.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 34c | 113.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 108.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 106.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 102.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 97.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 13c | 94.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 72c | 93.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 89.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 60c | 87.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…5181backed Yes | 17c | 86.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 22c | 78.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 13c | 74.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 74.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 63.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed No | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 41c | 59.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 41c | 57.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…93b4backed Yes | 27c | 55.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Yes | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 52.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…44d3backed Yes | 39c | 50.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Yes | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 45c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 42.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 36.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…0644backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 42c | 29.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 49c | 28.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.