TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c11,457$7,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.732,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes33c7,005$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.7319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes50c5,282$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.032,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes37c4,910$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No55c4,906$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.7175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c4,044$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.1143618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c3,302$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.61,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes33c3,036$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.3623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c2,457$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.271,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes36c2,250$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8614570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c2,057$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.83,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes34c1,912$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c1,669$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.865,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes1c1,667$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6719155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c1,614$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.341,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c1,601$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.081,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Yes5c1,506$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes33c1,496$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fd…783cbacked Yes56c1,476$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,453$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.543,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No48c1,036$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.972330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No48c1,020$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.710875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No48c830$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes32c829.25$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.364141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c724.76$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.71,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes32c642.85$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3163…9243backed Yes20c631.28$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes33c627.29$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.236251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes32c596.88$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c591.44$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.968,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes21c585.78$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.482222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+65.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c546.19$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No76c505$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.683560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No69c489.84$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8523057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No73c486.33$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2925044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c417.4$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.081,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c331.98$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.911,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c323.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.951,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c7…67b2backed Yes58c258.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No60c251.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7314530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.510649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No74c224.09$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes31c206.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52dc…4610backed Yes52c187.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Yes52c185.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed No69c172.7$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c167.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.371,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes52c165.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8953836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No69c143.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No77c142.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6941145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No52c135.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes52c127.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c127$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.31,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.97328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No58c122.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No61c118.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No47c114.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes30c110.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1833560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c110.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1894…f1d6backed Yes31c106.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes52c101.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5312348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2617255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes54c91.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…e43abacked Yes59c84.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes57c83.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Yes31c79.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.623040%12 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No67c78.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No71c76.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1316653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd958…f975backed No68c73.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No68c69.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3526749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes57c67.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.388451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No75c62.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c60.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No71c54.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.898955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No62c54.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes38c48.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3231355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Yes30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa908…0c6dbacked Yes24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes54c44.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes56c43.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No69c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1311864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No68c42.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.583259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes52c42.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked No48c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.225100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes57c38.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.684339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No68c37.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.