South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ab9e3680f1f49a9826b113c95dbcfde2cd84015d4e1ea053d0dc93d9b50916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 5,399$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.99 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 3,414$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.09 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 24c | 2,996$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.48 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 32c | 2,894$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 2,738$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 1,804$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,375$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 55c | 965.65$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.35 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 750.63$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 569$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 568.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 537.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 510$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 28c | 491.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 491.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 265.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 80c | 218.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 206$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 183.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 27c | 168.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 142.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 140.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 16c | 138.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 124.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 68c | 115.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 37c | 112.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 110.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 79c | 93.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed Yes | 13c | 90.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 90.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 83.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 67.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 67.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 38c | 61.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Yes | 32c | 58.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 30c | 51.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 50.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 58c | 45.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked No | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7cb5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 28c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed Yes | 32c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 27.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.