TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No80c18,314$14,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes21c16,790$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.8829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes26c16,434$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.926944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes25c15,817$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-81.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c12,883$9,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes9c11,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.97728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fa…78b8backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c9,055$7,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.5242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c7,456$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.022,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes22c6,919$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c6,644$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.581,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c2,726$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c2,622$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.543618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes8c2,057$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.547125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes23c1,647$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c1,593$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No76c1,429$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.971693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes21c1,416$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.382343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes19c1,333$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8916534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6898444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes4c1,266$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.312138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27521844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f0…3651backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No77c908.08$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes25c840.75$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes23c807.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8216647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No74c705$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.35164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c557.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c511.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.76205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes21c478$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.385040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e37…e36cbacked No75c426.7$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No77c364.31$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3110652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No74c362$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Yes21c357.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c335.18$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.151,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed No75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No78c325$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No78c325$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes21c283.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd26…77fcbacked Yes19c269.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes17c253.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4814022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes19c253.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.212331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No78c246.21$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No78c236$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No78c225$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Yes16c223.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c211.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.271,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c169$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.942,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No78c157.69$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.695650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes22c152.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c151$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.952,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes10c147.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No80c147.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7111858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…8fe1backed Yes23c146.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes24c145$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No80c144.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3718338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c142.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9925625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes22c134.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.624339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes24c133.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No75c129.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No80c121.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1481…3ff0backed Yes13c117.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c101.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c101.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes15c77.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.524257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.518959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No79c74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6245253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No79c73.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No78c71.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c95…49c0backed Yes25c68.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…313fbacked Yes23c64.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…f1d6backed Yes24c56.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1113465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes24c49.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7714945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes22c48.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.786043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked No79c46.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.652867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.