TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No47c59,289$27,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,819.529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.264652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes54c9,016$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.185050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No30c7,033$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.551811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes53c6,478$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.5342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c6,100$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.793,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0165…8235backed Yes50c5,871$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.237556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c5,649$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.541,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c4,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95016647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c4,358$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.541,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c4,207$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes54c4,036$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.3917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c3,933$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.968,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c2,905$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.7319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes73c2,592$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes53c2,552$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed No31c2,538$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.062532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No17c2,249$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.741,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes70c2,105$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.582250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed No10c2,013$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Yes72c1,987$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes70c1,908$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes52c1,859$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.323925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c1,541$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.271,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Yes53c1,453$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes54c1,337$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.6216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No46c1,300$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c1,294$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.881,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes52c1,256$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.7711565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No47c1,081$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No47c1,069$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes54c1,000$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1723057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No20c914.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6914022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes52c714.81$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No48c697.02$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5714945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No47c610.73$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.046643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27617251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes53c566.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No8c559.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0420958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No16c448.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.821,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No18c440.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed No52c411.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2142846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0316…e764backed No11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes53c347$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No15c343.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1418338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No49c287.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c278.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.782268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6f…0cf2backed No30c269.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No23c248.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8820138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed No30c238.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c206$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.713545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507f…c23bbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c192.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.132,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes62c161.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.851,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes51c154.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes58c149.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Yes72c139$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.922568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes52c136.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.112737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.625525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd26…77fcbacked Yes67c132.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.77333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No34c118$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No15c115.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No17c112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No46c100.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…9fc3backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.997149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes60c99.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.114971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed No51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No31c93.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes51c92.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked No12c91.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No48c91.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9116960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes56c89.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes71c83.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes53c76.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.891855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23e…7cbebacked No18c73.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes52c71.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.395650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes53c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3110652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes68c63.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes53c63.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6516459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes53c63.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6538861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes53c63.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No49c61.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3714844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.