Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd61c5cfcb6e8aa0e0be896d0fa891d9f15f84ee83685c08830e0856919c2301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 10,000$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.85 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed NRG | 34c | 4,359$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.01 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked NRG | 48c | 3,375$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 30c | 2,275$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked NRG | 43c | 917.7$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 68c | 781.8$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked NRG | 46c | 700$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 33c | 695$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed NRG | 36c | 560.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 550.88$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NRG | 57c | 537.63$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked NRG | 15c | 450$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 13cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed NRG | 15c | 450$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 31c | 416.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG | 36c | 303.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked NRG | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +266.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed NRG | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +236%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked NRG | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 16cpaid | +545.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed NRG | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed NRG | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 191.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5862backed NRG | 37c | 187.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed NRG | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked NRG | 66c | 133.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 128.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked NRG | 15c | 124.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed NRG | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 95.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 75c | 90.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 63.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NRG | 68c | 57.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 51.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed NRG | 50c | 47.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 66c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 39.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NRG | 46c | 31.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed NRG | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NRG | 60c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.