Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525ce857238298e2fb4209ac5a1026c9ea79475dede2f77cf397d2326ec9634c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 2,084$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.32 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NRG | 64c | 1,658$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.95 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 1,001$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.51 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 787.54$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 663.31$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.52 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed NRG | 35c | 661$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed FURIA Esports | 18c | 635$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 59c | 556.61$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked FURIA Esports | 62c | 440.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed NRG | 66c | 402.31$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 375$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 64c | 303.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 243.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 242.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked NRG | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked NRG | 41c | 225.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 220.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NRG | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 56c | 197.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 55c | 196.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 50c | 196.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports | 29c | 172.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NRG | 63c | 170.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 166.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed NRG | 41c | 163$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed NRG | 79c | 126.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 110.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked FURIA Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 88.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 61c | 69.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 68.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed NRG | 66c | 51.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 48.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 44.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 42.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed FURIA Esports | 38c | 34.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed FURIA Esports | 37c | 33.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.