TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof MIBR, Leviatán Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Leviatán Esports51c42,987$21,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,049.454751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Leviatán Esports50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00078162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR51c17,286$8,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,792.7633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports61c16,500$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,488.3952155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MIBR51c11,568$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.574740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Leviatán Esports48c8,770$4,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.8126050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR35c6,881$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.711,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MIBR50c6,450$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.233942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed MIBR52c5,473$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.5411159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR36c5,465$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.9268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MIBR51c4,505$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.1318457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MIBR51c4,403$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.896150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked MIBR50c4,230$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR34c4,008$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.821,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed MIBR50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked MIBR51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports58c3,955$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.6756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports52c3,539$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.4865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Leviatán Esports49c3,514$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.3551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports54c3,512$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.8468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports54c3,115$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.9953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR36c3,033$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.8835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR45c2,982$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.691,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Leviatán Esports53c2,849$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed MIBR35c2,661$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.7141835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211b…1872backed MIBR51c2,497$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.611936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed MIBR51c2,496$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports58c2,313$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.8593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed MIBR50c2,264$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1325658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed MIBR39c2,184$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.542540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports63c2,022$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked MIBR50c1,939$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Leviatán Esports50c1,874$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.2323151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed MIBR52c1,777$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.612157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Leviatán Esports57c1,665$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8732462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Leviatán Esports50c1,644$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.9410951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Leviatán Esports50c1,635$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.7310946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Leviatán Esports49c1,612$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.2811258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked MIBR39c1,525$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x687f…da05backed Leviatán Esports70c1,509$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked MIBR51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed MIBR46c1,500$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked MIBR52c1,449$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed MIBR50c1,410$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked MIBR40c1,402$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.4221136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked MIBR37c1,384$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8830835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f6a…8c55backed MIBR55c1,360$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed MIBR41c1,333$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3726932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Leviatán Esports48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67633348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22d…7336backed MIBR50c1,220$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR50c1,213$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MIBR51c1,175$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0615342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Leviatán Esports49c1,173$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4745250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed MIBR51c1,135$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5797347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed MIBR51c1,126$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.17342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed MIBR51c1,104$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.648538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Leviatán Esports62c1,070$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7413759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed MIBR50c1,022$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed MIBR49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed MIBR36c1,013$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7637545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked MIBR25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Leviatán Esports49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51028548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…f510backed MIBR51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MIBR50c995.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR48c993$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.041,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR31c971.14$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3454342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leviatán Esports48c939.23$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9824846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR42c930.23$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked MIBR46c904.66$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41714452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Leviatán Esports56c898.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.219656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MIBR36c889.65$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9627947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR50c888$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR44c884.37$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed MIBR52c820.75$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.796048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Leviatán Esports61c811.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.846045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR26c774.88$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Leviatán Esports54c757.34$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed MIBR50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Leviatán Esports75c746.57$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.646256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked MIBR51c740.47$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.648950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Leviatán Esports58c705.5$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.382236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked MIBR50c705$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked MIBR51c686.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506045%27 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Leviatán Esports53c665.2$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leviatán Esports49c646.89$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7825660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Leviatán Esports61c630.58$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Leviatán Esports51c609$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MIBR31c606.32$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Leviatán Esports53c603.32$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2710956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked MIBR42c602$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3815833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR37c601.65$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.071,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed MIBR51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leviatán Esports58c599.76$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8124250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed MIBR50c585$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked MIBR38c565$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3715334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed MIBR57c526.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked MIBR50c523.72$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Leviatán Esports49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.118049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MIBR52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed MIBR50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.